Prediction Media
How results get decided
Every question names its source before you answer. Results are recorded by Prediction Media - not by Prediction Media's newsroom.
Markets settle it
Questions that mirror a live prediction market resolve the moment the exchange publishes its official settlement. We copy the result - we never judge it.
Automatic
The source says
Questions from local coverage name a public source up front - an official reading, a published result, tomorrow's story. The outcome is recorded from that source.
Automatic, a person confirms when unsure
A person decides
Anything a public source can't settle - a photo finish, a canceled event, a market that never finalizes - gets a Prediction Media reviewer who reads the evidence and records the call by hand. Elections always take this path.
Human review
Before the close
Nothing resolves early, except a "by a date" question whose answer becomes public first: it closes and resolves at that moment, and a call made after the answer was out is not scored.
After the close
Every closed question shows the date its result is expected by: a weather report the next morning, a market within a day or two, a published result when it lands. Long-range questions score points but never carry a daily streak.
When no result comes
A question with no published result 14 days after it closed is voided, with the reason shown. Your call points and your streak stand; nobody is scored.
When we got it wrong
A result can be corrected within 7 days. Points are re-scored, everyone who called it is told, and badges already earned stay. The first official result stands; a later revision by the source does not change it.
Nothing is wagered and points have no cash value, so a resolution is never a payout decision. We work in good faith from the stated source; a result is final seven days after it is recorded. When an event is canceled or a source can't settle a question, we void it - your points stand and your accuracy isn't touched. Get one wrong past us? The cost is bragging rights, and we'd still rather hear about it.